Ankara, the key to peace in Ukraine?

Ankara, the key to peace in Ukraine?

Turkey “put Russia on alert” after warning shots were recently fired at a cargo belonging to a Turkish company heading to the port of Ismail in southern Ukraine. The move by the Turkish side comes amid the organization of a meeting between the Russian president, Vladimir Putin, and his Turkish counterpart, Recep Tayyip Erdogan. The location of this meeting has not yet been decided, and the Turkish president’s press service previously said that so far nothing concrete could be said about a potential face-to-face meeting between Erdogan and Putin, and that the administration would “inform the media as soon as details are available”.

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Chisinau, security dilemmas on the eve of the elections

Chisinau, security dilemmas on the eve of the elections

The Chisinau Parliament decided to extend the state of emergency by 60 days, a decision taken at the request of the Government of the Republic of Moldova. The Prime Minister from Chisinau, Dorin Recean, invoked the imminent danger to the security of the country due to the war in Ukraine. The opposition harshly criticized this decision, calling for early parliamentary and presidential elections.

State of emergency

55 deputies voted for the extension of the state of emergency after the prime minister from Chisinau, Dorin Recean, came to the Parliament, presenting the arguments in this regard. “The war is near us, especially lately, when the civilian infrastructure in Odessa is being bombed. The Russian Federation is attacking our neighbors, killing them and making it difficult for them to live. This, indisputably, also affects us by disrupting logistics chains, breaking transport chains and the hybrid war that Russia is waging against the Republic of Moldova”, said the Prime Minister. According to the officials from Chisinau, the risks to the security of the Republic of Moldova are high, including “because of the attacks in the immediate vicinity of the NATO border, in the Odesa and Reni regions, close to the border of the Republic of Moldova. Also, the country will be affected after the suspension of the agreement on the export of grain through the Black Sea basin, imposed by Russia on July 17, which will lead to the increase of grain transit through the country. The authorities also say that the country remains exposed to hybrid warfare, through the promotion of false information, military manipulation and inter-ethnic violence. At the same time, the war in Ukraine could prevent the supply of natural gas and electricity to the Republic of Moldova”.

The Republic of Moldova has been in a state of emergency since February 24, 2022, the day Russia invaded Ukraine. Since then, it has been extended several times. According to the act, during the state of emergency, CSE members can issue binding and enforceable provisions for the heads of central and local public administration authorities, economic agents, public institutions, but also for citizens of the Republic of Moldova and foreigners in the country.

The opposition accuses

The President of the Republic of Moldova, Maia Sandu, is dealing with the “witch hunt” in Gagauzia and is taking all possible measures to destabilize the situation in the region, said the oligarch Ilan Șor, convicted in the Republic of Moldova for participating in the famous theft of the billion, launched accusations to the head of state Maia Sandu whom he called a “dictator” who is destabilizing the region. Ilan Şor said that Sandu is trying to show himself in a favorable light in front of the “western masters” before the upcoming elections, through unfriendly actions against UTA Gagauzia. “The elections are approaching and the dictator Sandu must prove that she is not staying in Chisinau and receiving money from the West for nothing. Driven by paranoia, she is organizing a “witch hunt,” said the fugitive politician, who is on the US and EU sanctions list.

For his part, Vlad Batrîncea, the vice-president of the Parliament, the president of the BCS faction, criticized the decision of the Recean government. He pointed out that the opposition expressed against the extension of the state of emergency, a situation in which investments do not come, it is not an economic program. “The state of emergency is convenient only for those who want to make purchases secretly, to manage public money non-transparently, outside of legal and parliamentary procedures.” At the end of the briefing, Vlad Batrîncea reiterated that the country needs early parliamentary elections. According to the deputy, BCS initiated a motion of censure against the Recean government, which is the shortest way to these elections. Vlad Batrîncea urged all the opposition forces in the country, including the extra-parliamentary parties, to consolidate around this idea, to organize free and fair early parliamentary elections, so that people capable of managing public affairs in the interest of the citizens come to power.

Secret Service War The Intelligence and Security Service of the Republic of Moldova (SIS) announced that, after starting the necessary legal procedures, it denounced the Partnership Agreement with the Federal Security Service of the Russian Federation (FSB). Official notifications have been sent to the authorities of the Russian Federation. At the same time, the Service submitted strict measures, through the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and European Integration of the Republic of Moldova, to denounce the cooperation agreement with the Foreign Intelligence Service of the Russian Federation (SVR), according to a press release from the SIS sent to the media. “Starting with February 24, 2022, with the invasion of the Russian Federation in Ukraine, the cooperation relations of the Intelligence and Security Service with the special services of the Russian Federation were stopped, so that the agreements given have no practical applicability, being in fact non-functional. The inconsistency and dissonance of the provisions of these agreements with the national interest and security of the Republic of Moldova argues for the denunciation process initiated by the Intelligence and Security Service”, argued the SIS representatives. Moreover, the provisions of these agreements, signed in 1994, including the additional protocols, represented legal clauses invoked by the Russian Federation to argue the presence of representatives of the Russian special services in the region to the left of the Dniester in the Republic of Moldova. Thus, with the denunciation of these agreements, such “arguments” can no longer be advanced by the Russian Federation, SIS mentions. “The Intelligence and Security Service does not maintain external partnership relations with similar structures of other states, which clearly defy the legislation and act to the detriment of national security, carry out subversive activities against the Republic of Moldova, including undermining the functionality of the state’s democratic institutions, destabilization of the socio-political, economic situation and jeopardizing the territorial integrity of the country”, the SIS representatives concluded.

Harsh statements

The Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Integration of the Republic of Moldova (MAEIE) qualified on Thursday as “false and slanderous” the latest statements of the spokeswoman of the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Maria Zaharova, according to which a rapprochement of Chisinau with NATO would mean the loss of sovereignty by the Republic Moldova, according to the daily Ziarul Naţional from Chişinău. In a statement, the MAEIE emphasizes that it is Russia that does not respect the Constitution of the Republic of Moldova and illegally maintains military troops on its territory in Transnistria. “The relations of the Republic of Moldova with various international organizations, including NATO, represent the sovereign and independent decision of our republic. Regarding the Republic of Moldova-NATO partnership, it already has a history of 30 years, being oriented towards the development of the capacities to counter the new complex challenges and ensuring the security of citizens and our state”, the press release states. At the same time, “we mention that the neutrality of the Republic of Moldova does not mean self-isolation. The authorities develop partnerships with those organizations and states that support and contribute to the maintenance of peace and security in our republic”, states the diplomacy from Chisinau. MAEIE recalls that, at the NATO Summit in Vilnius on July 11, the North Atlantic Alliance reiterated its support for the territorial integrity, sovereignty, independence and respect for the neutrality status of the Republic of Moldova. NATO states also declared that they support the sovereign right of the Republic of Moldova to choose its development model, its foreign policy course and to decide its future without outside interference. “In the same vein, we suggest the official representative of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Russia to read in full article 11 of the Constitution of our country, including paragraph (2) which specifies that the Republic of Moldova does not allow the deployment of military troops of other states on its territory, or namely, the Russian Federation directly violates this article”, concludes the MAEIE statement. The Empire Strikes Back The authorities of the Republic of Moldova should be aware that the country’s approach to NATO leads to a total loss of sovereignty, the spokeswoman of the Russian MFA, Maria Zaharova, said on Thursday, quoted by the official Russian news agency TASS. “Let’s hope that the Moldovan political class is still aware of the fact that (the Republic of Moldova)’s approach to NATO not only does not bring more security, but on the contrary leads to a total loss of sovereignty”, Zaharova declared in a press conference . Russia has repeatedly expressed its position towards the “provocative policy of continuing the expansion of NATO, especially the attraction of the Republic of Moldova into the Alliance, despite its status of neutrality enshrined in its Constitution”, she stated. “We observe a consistent increase in the interaction between pro-Western forces in Chisinau and Euro-Atlantic structures contrary to national interests and without taking into account the opinions of their own citizens”, she added, stating that over 60% of Moldovan citizens oppose their country’s membership in NATO. “Obviously, the Moldovan people, traditionally friendly to Russia, unlike their current leaders, are fully aware of the aggressive nature of the North Atlantic bloc and understand that the situation in neighboring Ukraine was largely caused by irresponsible attempts at expansion of the Alliance”, emphasized Zaharova. “It is unlikely that the population of the Republic of Moldova would want it to become – under the pretext of implementing various partnership formats – another testing ground for geopolitical confrontations”, concluded the spokeswoman of the Russian MFA. Photo: wikipedia Western support The Republic of Moldova received consistent financial support from international organizations. In the most recent example, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has approved an additional financing, worth 165 million euros, for the Republic of Moldova to buy natural gas, the president of the EBRD, Odile Renaud-Basso, recently stated in an interview for the Infotag press agency. The EBRD official recalled that last year the financial institution offered the Republic of Moldova a revolving loan of 300 million euros for gas purchases, which helped Moldova to purchase gas from alternative sources in Europe for the first time, instead of taking at the Russian group Gazprom. “In 2023 we will continue to increase funding for Moldova. We have approved an additional financing worth 165 million euros for the purchase of gas… The funds, totaling 465 million euros, will allow the government to buy 75% of the gas the country needs”, said Odile Renaud – Basso.

Gas deliveries frequently caused tensions between the Republic of Moldova and Russia until the end of last year, as until now Chisinau depended almost exclusively on Gazprom for gas imports.

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Bulgaria-Romania: Bridges, Nuclear Energy and Strategic Military Partnership

Bulgaria-Romania: Bridges, Nuclear Energy and Strategic Military Partnership

Collaboration within NATO, the issue of Schengen Area accession, as well as the complex geopolitical realities of the Balkans and the Black Sea region, compel the authorities in Sofia and Bucharest to collaborate much more deeply than they currently do. Moving beyond the evident collaboration challenges, exacerbated by decades of mutual mistrust and a provincial mindset specific to the two political elites, the two EU and NATO member states must swiftly identify a path to solidify their strategic partnership and reinvigorate joint efforts for Schengen Area integration. The recent visit of Bulgarian Prime Minister Nikolai Denkov to Bucharest appears to be giving a boost to bilateral relations.

10 billions leva

The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) is interested in investing in the construction of a second bridge between Ruse and Giurgiu, as well as in railway infrastructure projects in Bulgaria. This was revealed during a meeting between the Minister of Transport and Communications, Georgi Gvozdeykov, and the EBRD representative in Bulgaria, Anca Ionescu, as reported by the Bulgarian Ministry of Transport and cited by the Romanian media.

“The construction of a new bridge over the Danube is a top priority that needs to be addressed quickly, as traffic along this route is increasing daily. We believe that Bulgaria and Romania, as two countries in the European family, should work together in partnership with the European Commission to implement this strategic project,” said the Minister of Transport. He added that any support that will help implement investments under the National Recovery and Resilience Plan (PNRR) and other European programs in the transport sector is important. “We have the necessary financial instruments, which provide us with significant opportunities to achieve our objectives, but we need to significantly accelerate the implementation activities,” Minister Georgi Gvozdeykov added.

So far, the EBRD has invested over 10 billion leva in transport projects in Bulgaria, which is approximately 5 billion euros. Its priority is a second bridge over the Danube at Ruse-Giurgiu, which is becoming increasingly important at the European level, said Ionescu, adding that she is prepared for future discussions on the construction of a maritime logistics hub at the Varna-West port. Regarding green transport, the EBRD wants to invest in both the rehabilitation of railway infrastructure and the construction of electric vehicle charging stations.

Gvozdeykov emphasized that the Ministry is ready, at the expert level, to immediately consider all EBRD proposals, taking into account the projects already planned under European support programs.

The Schengen Objective

The “excellent” relations between Romania and Bulgaria are confirmed by the existence of a strategic partnership agreed upon by the two countries, stated Romanian Prime Minister Marcel Ciolacu during a joint press conference with his Bulgarian counterpart, Nikolai Denkov, who was on a working visit to Bucharest.

“Today, I discussed with Prime Minister Denkov the excellent relations between our countries, which are now confirmed by the existence of a strategic partnership agreed upon in March of this year by the presidents of both states. We had a substantial exchange of opinions regarding common priorities with the aim of unlocking new areas of cooperation for the economic development of our countries. Our discussions touched on areas that have an impact on our citizens, such as transportation and energy,” said Ciolacu.

He highlighted the interest shown by both parties in implementing the European project that will ensure navigable waters on the Danube, as well as in building a second road bridge between Giurgiu and Ruse.

“Secondly, in the energy sector, we are considering better interconnection of natural gas transportation corridors, as well as a joint effort to diversify energy sources, in line with the proposal from the European Union for the green transition,” conveyed Marcel Ciolacu.

According to him, the discussions also covered the expansion of the Schengen Area and the completion of Romania and Bulgaria’s accession process “as soon as possible.”

“Already, following the recent installation of the governments of Romania and Bulgaria, our countries have made additional efforts to achieve this goal. We are still committed to strengthening European migration management tools and protecting external borders. (…) We agreed to maintain direct dialogue between us, as well as with other European partners,” stated Ciolacu.

The head of the Bucharest government further emphasized the interest in continuing close cooperation to promote stability and security in the Black Sea region. “Additionally, I discussed with Prime Minister Denkov the security situation in the Black Sea region, which has been deeply affected by Russia’s aggression against Ukraine. I emphasized the interest in continuing close cooperation between Romania and Bulgaria to promote stability and security in the Black Sea region and keeping the allied attention on security developments in this area,” said Ciolacu.

Strategic Bridges

The construction of a second bridge between Ruse and Giurgiu has gained a new dimension with the onset of the war in Ukraine, stated Bulgarian Prime Minister Nikolai Denkov after talks with Romanian Prime Minister Marcel Ciolacu at the Victoria Palace. However, until the project is completed, the Bulgarian official advocates for the swift operation of a ferry line between the two cities to handle the intense traffic.

“For years, we have been discussing a second bridge between Ruse and Giurgiu. It is a very important route that connects Bulgaria to the capital of Bucharest. This route has gained new significance with the start of Russia’s war in Ukraine. It is part of the logistical direction concerning the preparation of NATO’s eastern flank defense, and we have every reason to accelerate the planning, design, and preparation process for this bridge as soon as possible. That’s why we discussed possible sources of funding. Both states want this to happen as soon as possible. At the same time, given that this task still requires time, we have raised the issue of putting the Ruse-Giurgiu ferry line into operation as soon as possible, so that we can assist this intense traffic, which is closely linked to the highly developed business relations between the two states. Additionally, we want to assist tourists traveling in both directions,” said Nikolai Denkov.

Regarding accession to the Schengen Area, Nikolai Denkov emphasized that Romania and Bulgaria have met all the accession criteria and stressed that this process should be finalized jointly by the two states. “This is my first working visit, and it is not by chance that it takes place in Romania. We are strategic partners, and it’s not just because we have a signed agreement in this regard, but there are several projects that need to be completed, considering that they benefit our people and our states, which also have a European dimension. We need to make up for the short time we have with much more intense activity. (…) First of all, Schengen. We unanimously agree that we have met all the criteria set by the European Union, and it is not by chance that we have a positive decision from the European Commission and the European Parliament. We need to finalize the process, and we need to do it together, through discussions, both at the political and expert levels, with those states that still have some reservations. We have made concrete action plans between our Interior Ministries and Border Police, both at the political and expert levels, and we will work together with you to ensure a positive outcome for this process,” explained the Bulgarian Prime Minister.

“Clearly, we need to be very careful about what we tell our people in our countries because not everything depends on us. There are internal processes, both in the Netherlands and Austria, over which we have no control. But we need to do everything within our control and convey these things, both at the European level and to the governments and parliaments of the Netherlands and Austria,” added Nikolai Denkov, as reported by the Romanian media.

Military Partnership

Romanian President Klaus Iohannis declared at the end of the NATO Summit held in Vilnius that anti-air defense needs to be strengthened, emphasizing that Romania will play an important role through the regional training hub for F-16 pilots to be constructed in Romania, in collaboration with the Netherlands and other international partners.

“We have explored new possibilities for cooperation within NATO and with the Alliance’s partners to facilitate the development of capabilities and the defense industry, efforts that also favor the revitalization of Romania’s defense industry. We must strengthen our air defense. Therefore, we have decided to establish, in Romania, alongside the Netherlands and other international partners, a regional hub for training Romanian F-16 pilots, but this hub will also be accessible to allied and Ukrainian pilots. It is an important role that Romania has assumed,” said the head of state at the end of the NATO Summit.

He also announced at the NATO Summit the creation, alongside Bulgaria, of a regional Command dedicated to special forces, which is open to allies and partners.

The two defense ministers, Angel Tîlvăr and his Bulgarian counterpart, Todor Tagarev, signed a letter of intent for the joint establishment of a regional component command for special operations (R-SOCC). The event took place on the sidelines of the NATO Summit in Vilnius, marking the importance of the Pontic region for the North Atlantic Alliance.

Tîlvăr highlighted the excellent cooperation between Romania and Bulgaria in the field of defense, both bilaterally and as allies and Europeans. He also expressed gratitude to his Bulgarian counterpart for Sofia’s constant commitment to regional security and for the participation of Bulgarian troops in projects carried out under NATO’s auspices in Romania, within multinational commands.

“Recognizing the strategic importance of the Black Sea region and the fact that this region has become a critical frontier for the new European and Euro-Atlantic security architecture, Romania and Bulgaria have decided to advance cooperation within the Alliance context by establishing this regional command for special operations. The regional component command for special operations will be part of the measures to enhance deterrence and defense on the Eastern Flank,” conveyed the Romanian Ministry of Defense in Bucharest, as reported by the media.

As a sign of the good military collaboration between the two states, Bulgaria has sent soldiers and two ships (the minehunter TSIBAR and the mine clearance diving support vessel SHKVAL), which will participate in the annual “Poseidon 2023” exercise, alternately organized by Romania and Bulgaria from July 14 to 21.

“Over 750 military personnel from the Romanian Navy, other national defense structures, as well as from Bulgaria, Belgium, France, Greece, Italy, the United Kingdom, the United States (NAVEUR, Alabama National Guard), and Turkey will carry out joint activities in the Military Port of Constanta and in the training areas in the western part of the Black Sea, as part of the ‘Poseidon 2023’ multinational tactical-level exercise, organized annually alternately by Romania and Bulgaria,” according to the source.

The main objectives of the “Poseidon 2023” exercise include increasing interoperability among participating forces, as well as evaluating and certifying the capabilities of the Romanian Navy for NATO and EU missions and for national defense activities.

“Furthermore, ‘Poseidon 2023’ focuses on enhancing operational capabilities and the level of training for all participating forces, practicing NATO combat procedures in a multinational maritime, land, and air environment, using NATO engagement rules and procedures for command, control, and communications. The exercise represents a good opportunity to consolidate the high level of planning, leadership, and evaluation activities specific to mine warfare, surface warfare, and anti-air warfare,” the statement further mentioned.

During the exercise, the Romanian Navy will also carry out specific evaluation and verification activities for the frigate “Regina Maria” (F-222) for NATO’s Rapid Reaction Force (NRF 23) and the unique force package made available to NATO and the EU by Romania.

Schengen Bombshell

The European Parliament has recently adopted a resolution based on a petition submitted to the European Parliament by civil society in Romania, calling for the legality of Austria’s veto against Romania’s accession to the Schengen Area to be challenged. Additionally, the resolution calls on the European Commission to calculate the financial losses suffered by Romania and Bulgaria due to their non-admission to Schengen and to find mechanisms for compensation. The document was adopted with 526 votes in favor, 57 votes against, and 42 abstentions, as reported by the media.

The European Parliament emphasizes that Romania and Bulgaria have already met the necessary requirements for admission to the Schengen Area. Members of the European Parliament regret the decision of the EU Council on December 8, 2022, to reject Schengen membership “without providing any legal justification related to the accession criteria.” An expanded Schengen Area, without border controls, would make the EU stronger, say MEPs, noting that all member states have the right to join Schengen once they are ready.

The fact that Romania and Bulgaria are still outside the Schengen area is a burden on businesses and the population of both countries from a social and economic perspective, according to MEPs. Citizens of Bulgaria and Romania are discriminated against as they face delays, bureaucratic difficulties, and additional costs when traveling or doing business abroad compared to their counterparts in the Schengen Area. MEPs note that delays at border crossings experienced by Romanians and Bulgarians can range from hours to several days, compared to an average of 10 minutes without border checks at internal borders, worsening working conditions for truck drivers.

In addition to the harm caused to the EU single market by obstructing the free movement of goods between EU member states, the text mentions the “irreparable damage” to the environment, which does not align with the European Union’s climate neutrality goals. The health of truck drivers, customs officers, and people living near border crossings is endangered by the increased pollution caused by the numerous vehicles waiting to cross the border every day, with approximately 46,000 tons of CO2 emitted each year, according to MEPs.

The resolution calls on the European Commission to estimate the financial losses, unrealized gains, and environmental damage suffered by Romania and Bulgaria since June 2011 due to the “negative and unjustified decision” regarding the accession of the two countries to the Schengen Area and to explore possible mechanisms for compensating financial losses.

Russian propaganda

Eurodeputies underline that the current situation “is being instrumentalized by anti-EU propaganda, including Russian propaganda,” and “undermines the EU’s ability to promote its values and good governance in countries outside the EU.” Currently, all EU member states, except Bulgaria, Cyprus, Ireland, and Romania, are part of the Schengen Area of free movement, which also includes non-EU states (Iceland, Norway, Switzerland, and Liechtenstein). The European Commission has assessed that Bulgaria and Romania are ready to join Schengen, and the European Parliament has consistently supported the accession of these two countries, most recently in a resolution on October 5, 2022, and in a debate on December 14, 2022.

Renowned Bulgarian analyst Vladimir Mitev recently stated, as quoted by Bulgarian media, that “my feeling is that Romania feels somewhat stronger, in the sense that the resolution clearly states that Austria violates certain principles of the European Union, which was also written in Nicolescu’s petition. And it speaks, as you mentioned earlier, about the discrimination against Bulgarians and Romanians, but also about compensation. That is, this resolution now shows a clear political will, with over 80% of MEPs voting in favor of not allowing Austria to further delay the accession of Bulgaria and Romania, namely in Romania. On the one hand, I believe there is still a bit of hope.

But, to continue the reasoning, I think Romania continues to be very cautious in their enthusiasm for Schengen. They are much more reserved. It seems to me, rather than the opinions in the Bulgarian press, maybe because last December, when the accession was last voted on, there was enthusiasm in Romania that was not justified. Then it took a different turn. So-called sovereignist opinions about the EU developed in response to Romania’s rejection of being accepted into Schengen. And that’s maybe why Romania is now very cautious.”

Foto: wikipedia
Foto: wikipedia

Parliamentary Diplomacy

Acceptance into the Schengen Area, stability in the Black Sea region, and the construction of a third bridge across the Danube River between Romania and Bulgaria were topics discussed during a recent meeting between the Ambassador of Bulgaria, Radko Vlaykov, and the President of the Foreign Policy Committee of the Chamber of Deputies, Deputy Biro Rozalia-Ibolya (UDMR Bihor).

“We discussed the possibilities of expanding bilateral cooperation between Bulgaria and Romania, taking into account not only foreign policy but also certain priorities such as accession to the Schengen Area,” stated the President of the Foreign Policy Committee of the Chamber of Deputies. The meeting took place before the visit of the Bulgarian Prime Minister.

In light of Bulgaria having a new coalition government for only ten days, the initiative by Ambassador Radko Vlaykov to seek a permanent partnership and collaboration with Romanian parliamentary structures (the Committees on Foreign Policy, European Affairs, and others) is of great importance, according to her.

“Of course, on the one hand, we have common interests regarding stability in the Black Sea region, which is currently a priority, and equally important is our acceptance into the Schengen Area. Both our countries find themselves in this situation, but that doesn’t mean we are tied together, as each has its own path in this process. However, the interest is indeed for both of us to enter the Schengen Area as soon as possible. That’s why I considered it necessary to discuss this possibility, the project of a third bridge over the Danube, and ensuring navigability on the river. We also talked about organizing a joint online meeting in September between the leadership of the two Foreign Policy Committees from Romania and Bulgaria,” added Romanian parliamentarian Biro Rozalia-Ibolya, as reported by the media.

Nuclear Brotherhood

Romanian and Bulgarian officials participated in a meeting of the 12 EU member states that are in favor of nuclear energy. This event took place on the sidelines of the informal meeting of EU Energy Ministers in Valladolid, Spain, on July 12th. Ministers from France, Bulgaria, Croatia, the Czech Republic, Finland, Hungary, the Netherlands, Poland, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, and Sweden attended, while Belgium and Italy participated as observers.

Participants reaffirmed the crucial role of nuclear energy in ensuring the stability and resilience of the electricity grid across the European energy market. They expressed the view that nuclear technologies and renewable energy sources complement each other in achieving the EU’s climate and energy security objectives. The ministers prepared a joint document addressed to the European Commission, requesting recognition and appropriate support for nuclear energy. They argued that the principles of technological neutrality and the sovereign right of member states to determine their energy mix should be duly considered in European policies.

In a meeting with his Greek counterpart, Theodoros Skylakakis, Minister Radev discussed deepening energy cooperation and the strategic development of energy links between the two countries. Enhancing gas supply security through the development of necessary infrastructure, including key projects such as the liquefied natural gas terminal near Alexandroupolis, the Greece-Bulgaria gas interconnector, the Alexandroupolis-Burgas oil pipeline, and hydrogen-related initiatives, were also discussed.

The strengthening of bilateral cooperation in electricity and gas connectivity was a topic of discussion between Minister Radev and the Romanian Secretary of State in the Ministry of Energy, Dan-Dragos Drăgan.

Common Interests

Romanian Minister of Agriculture, Florin-Ionuţ Barbu, will join his Bulgarian counterpart in Warsaw for a meeting of Agriculture Ministers. The primary agenda will be to find solutions related to the transportation of cereals, given the context of the war in Ukraine. They will also discuss the release of deposits and the export of a portion of the new harvest for Romanian farmers.

According to a statement from the Romanian Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development (MADR), Minister Barbu will participate in the meeting of agriculture ministers from Poland, Bulgaria, Hungary, Romania, Slovakia, Moldova, and Ukraine in Warsaw. The main topic will be the situation on agricultural markets due to Russia’s aggression against Ukraine and the measures that need to be taken to ensure fair competition rules for farmers in EU member states and candidate countries.

At the end of the meeting, participants will sign a joint declaration by the Agriculture Ministers of Bulgaria, Hungary, Poland, Romania, and Slovakia regarding the necessity of extending EU preventive measures on certain products originating from Ukraine.

Poland and Slovakia have called for a further extension of the embargo on Ukrainian cereals until the end of this year, dismissing concerns that Russia’s decision to terminate an international agreement on the Black Sea corridor could disrupt food supplies. Both countries, along with Bulgaria, Romania, and Hungary, currently impose restrictions on the purchase of cereals from Ukraine until mid-September, following protests by farmers in these five countries due to the influx of cheap Ukrainian cereals. The EU agreement still allows the transit of cereals from Ukraine to other countries.

“I see no compelling argument for the current embargo to expire in mid-September. I hope that the embargo will not end, that we will be able to get its extension within our coalition of five EU member states,” said Polish Agriculture Minister Robert Telus in a radio interview on Tuesday.

The European Commission had previously signaled its intention to gradually reduce and eliminate the “exceptional and temporary” restrictions affecting Eastern European member states. Furthermore, after Russia terminated an international agreement on the Black Sea corridor on Monday, Brussels announced that it would spare no effort to support the stable delivery of agricultural products from Ukraine to global markets through so-called corridors of solidarity.

Foto: wikipedia
Foto: wikipedia

Grateful Ukraine

Recently, the leader of Kiev, Volodymyr Zelensky, conducted an official visit to Sofia, where he obtained a promise from Bulgaria’s new pro-European Prime Minister, Nikolai Denkov, to increase the military assistance that Bulgaria provides to Ukraine in its war with Russia.

The two leaders did not detail the agreed-upon military aid in front of the press, nor did they specify the types of weapons and ammunition that would be included. Zelensky only mentioned it as a “defensive package, not an offensive one,” also noting that it includes artillery. Bulgaria is a major producer of ammunition compatible with Soviet-designed weapons used by the Ukrainian military.

The topic of military aid for Ukraine is a contentious issue in Bulgaria, a country with strong traditional ties to Russia. While former pro-Western Prime Minister Kiril Petkov (who was ousted by a vote of no confidence last year) strongly supported providing military aid to Ukraine, President Rumen Radev opposed it.

Despite the President’s opposition, the Bulgarian government has been delivering arms and ammunition to Ukraine since the early days of the Russian invasion, albeit through third-party states. Since then, the Bulgarian arms industry has been operating at maximum capacity and had record exports of around four billion euros last year.

“We cannot sit with folded arms in the face of what is happening just hundreds of kilometers from our borders,” said the new Prime Minister, Nikolai Denkov, explaining his agreement for Bulgaria to further support Ukraine with military aid following his discussion with Zelensky.

Zelensky also met with his Bulgarian counterpart, Rumen Radev, who remained reserved about providing military aid to Kiev. He expressed concerns about the depletion of Bulgarian army stocks and the fueling of the conflict with Russia. “This conflict has no military solution and will not be resolved with more weapons,” remarked the Bulgarian president, who called for a constant effort toward de-escalation, ceasefire, and a peaceful diplomatic solution.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said in Sofia, “I want to thank you, Bulgaria, for supporting and protecting our people.”

Zelensky expressed gratitude for Bulgaria’s support in the defense sector, emphasizing that this assistance is for defense, not offense. “This is a package for parents to protect their children,” said the Ukrainian president, adding that discussions would continue regarding the ongoing treatment of wounded Ukrainian soldiers in Bulgaria and the training of medical personnel in Bulgaria.

The Ukrainian president called on Bulgaria to participate in the reconstruction of Ukraine in the fields of education and the environment. He also discussed energy cooperation as part of the stability architecture in both countries. “We must protect people from price crises,” said Zelensky, expressing satisfaction that energy is becoming one of the priorities of cooperation between Bulgaria and Ukraine. He mentioned that the two parties also discussed cooperation in the field of European and Atlantic integration and signed a declaration. “I would like to note Bulgaria’s willingness to participate in these efforts,” said Zelensky, noting that consultations had been launched at the level of advisors and ambassadors and that issues were beginning to be discussed at the ambassadorial level in Bulgaria. Zelensky mentioned that Bulgaria’s ambassador to Ukraine has not yet been appointed, adding that he would comment on this matter in his meeting with Bulgarian President Rumen Radev.

Current Issues

Among the issues between Bulgaria and Romania is the matter of Romanian truckers transiting the Balkan state.

Romanian road transporters are required to park their trucks in Ruse, a location near the Romanian border, to be able to cross the border. However, they are forced to use parking spaces managed by a private operator who applies discriminatory and excessive fees for Romanian trucks compared to Bulgarian ones, according to the National Union of Road Hauliers from Romania (UNTRR), as reported by the media.

The truck parking in Ruse was put into operation in June and is located near the border crossing point with Romania at Giurgiu.

“While the road transport industry is requesting the elimination of controls at the Romanian-Bulgarian border crossing points and the creation of special lanes to facilitate the passage of cars and trucks registered in Romania and Bulgaria, paradoxically, the Bulgarian authorities have supported the development of a private truck parking area on the municipality’s land in Ruse. It started operating this year in June without any official announcement, public information, or contact details on the web, email, or in the media,” the UNTRR stated.

According to UNTRR, upon entering the parking area, each truck receives a pager that vibrates and rings to notify the driver 10 minutes before it’s their turn to cross the border.

Additionally, Romanian drivers are required to pay a discriminatory fee of 25 euros compared to Bulgarian drivers, who pay a fee three to four times lower, at only 15 Bulgarian leva, approximately 7 euros.

On the other hand, Romanian hauliers complain that in Ruse, Bulgarian and Ukrainian transporters are given priority, sometimes even without entering this parking area. If they are the last to enter, they exit first ahead of those waiting, even after 24 hours.

“This coordinated approach by the Bulgarian authorities violates the principles and regulations of the EU that prohibit differentiated and discriminatory taxation of transporters based on nationality. In the absence of any measures, this practice will expand, and border authorities will create longer waiting times to justify the establishment of such abusive and discriminatory practices, contrary to the objectives of increasing the fluidity of traffic for various means of transportation within the Community, as established by European Regulation No. 1,100/2008, which provides for the elimination of border controls between EU member states in road transport,” UNTRR representatives argue.

“Unfortunately, Bulgaria’s actions are contrary to statements of collaboration with Romanian authorities to expedite the accession of the two countries to the Schengen Area,” the statement concludes.

Strong Threats

In 2022, there were frequent situations where Romanian truck drivers had to wait for up to three days to cross this border point, according to UNTRR representatives.

UNTRR believes that the actions of the Bulgarian authorities, by imposing the mandatory use of this parking area and differentiated taxation, represent discrimination that should not exist within the European Union. “If Bulgaria continues these practices, then we believe that Romania should decouple from Bulgaria for the purpose of joining the Schengen Area. Romania has nothing to lose in its relationship with Bulgaria, where border crossing times are increasing anyway. Romania can benefit from the elimination of waiting times at the border with Hungary, through which over 90% of Romania’s foreign trade road transport with EU countries is conducted,” stated the organization’s representatives.

UNTRR will continue to bring these issues to the attention of the members of the Romanian Parliament, the European Parliament, the relevant Bulgarian authorities, and the competition authorities until this situation is resolved.

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The risk of conflict between NATO and Russia in the Black Sea

The risk of conflict between NATO and Russia in the Black Sea

The issue of strained relations between NATO and the Russian Federation has lasted for more than three decades, since the USSR disintegrated and Russia, the heart of this historical construction, inherited and rebooted the idea that it was destined to remain a great power. The course of its first 10 years, after calling itself the Russian Federation, was different from the other ex-Soviet states.

If for these states independence was perceived as a new beginning, Russia experienced independence as a state of fact dominated by uncertainty, through the weakening of state power, economic regression, to which was added the historical guilt of the loss of an empire. Russia had lost the Cold War after 45 years. We do not comment on the causes, they have been debated in many studies. What is important for the approach now is to understand the reasons why the risk of a West-Russia collision could occur in the Black Sea.

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The Black Sea, closer to the Schengen Area, in 2023?

The Black Sea, closer to the Schengen Area, in 2023?

European officials are preparing to admit Bulgaria and Romania into the Schengen Area this year, starting with air borders in October 2023, followed by the abolishment of border controls at land borders by January 1, 2024, according to some official sources cited by the media. As an alternative measure, the possibility of establishing a Romanian-Bulgarian mini-Schengen has also been proposed. In an interview with the publication ‘Podul Prieteniei,’ Romanian professor and political expert Sergiu Mișcoiu pointed out that the idea has its merits, and a small Schengen would benefit transportation companies, Romanian tourists, and also demonstrate the ‘Europeanness’ of both countries.

Dutch Opposition

According to official sources in Sofia, cited by Euractiv, Bulgaria has serious chances, if it exerts diplomatic pressure and demonstrates the willingness to continue reforms, to obtain Schengen accession as early as October this year, with air borders, and the prospect of full-fledged membership with land borders by January 2024. Until a month ago, the biggest obstacle to Bulgaria’s entry into Schengen was the opposition from the Netherlands. Mark Rutte’s government has informally signaled that it appreciates the efforts of the Bulgarian Parliament and the last four governments to initiate a genuine judicial reform by introducing an independent mechanism to investigate the chief prosecutor, which was adopted at the end of May. Former Bulgarian Chief Prosecutor Ivan Geshev, who did not have a particularly good reputation in Brussels, became the first victim of the new legislation after being dismissed from office last week. A continuation of the cleaning of the judicial system is expected. The second major reason for removing obstacles to Bulgaria’s entry into the Schengen is the election of a government in Sofia after a prolonged political crisis during which President Rumen Radev appointed an interim government. The government is composed of ministers from the We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria coalition, supported by GERB, represented by Deputy Prime Minister Mariya Gabriel. Among other things, the new government has declared its intention to review Radev’s policy towards Ukraine and has decided that the country will be represented at the future NATO summit by Prime Minister Nikolai Denkov, rather than the president. According to sources, the country’s European partners hope that common major objectives, including Schengen and the Eurozone accession, will keep the coalition united. In July, the European Commission will publish a report within the Cooperation and Verification Mechanism, at the insistence of the Netherlands. The report is expected to be generally positive, acknowledging the political will to continue reforms.

Vienna Wants Fences

Austria’s objections to the Schengen expansion amid the refugee crisis have not diminished, but Vienna is expected not to use its veto right if isolated. Last December, Austria and the Netherlands blocked Bulgaria’s accession to Schengen. Regarding Romania, only Austria opposed. Romania’s new Prime Minister, Marcel Ciolacu, announced earlier this week in an interview with EURACTIV that he has asked his ministers for a plan to persuade Austria to lift its veto on Romania’s Schengen membership. The next major goal of Bulgarian institutions is the country’s accession to the Eurozone by January 1, 2025. While the Netherlands demands that Bulgarian authorities demonstrate their fight against corruption and their commitment to judicial reform, Austria’s requirements seem much harder to implement. Austrian Chancellor Karl Nehammer has tried hard to secure European funds for the construction of a fence along the Bulgaria-Turkey border, a proposal rejected by the European Commission. Earlier this month, the EU Executive granted new financial assistance to Romania and Bulgaria for the implementation of already launched pilot projects for border management. The aid for Bulgaria amounts to 45 million euros, and for Romania – 10.8 million euros. Furthermore, the European Commission welcomes the progress made in the last three months by both countries in respecting asylum policies and the return of illegal immigrants, border management, and international cooperation – progress that should alleviate Austria’s concerns that Sofia and Bucharest are not doing enough for the registration of illegal migrants.

Alternative Strategy Bulgarian

MEP Andrey Novakov has called on Bulgaria and Romania to remove barriers at their common border crossings in protest if their accession to the Schengen area continues to be denied, according to reports from BTA, as cited by media in Bucharest. “My proposal is that, in the event that we do not enter Schengen, we should bilaterally address border controls between Bulgaria and Romania and remove barriers (between the two countries) without violating European legislation. This is possible and should be done, including as a protest,” Novakov said at a forum on transportation, digitalization, smart cities, and food security held in Sofia on Thursday. The event is organized by dir.bg and 3E News, with the BTA news agency as a media partner. Andrey Novakov emphasized that there are not many bridges across the Danube between Bulgaria and Romania because Romania’s strategy is to develop its infrastructure westward towards Hungary, not south towards Bulgaria. On the other hand, Bulgaria’s major Danube cities are smaller than their Romanian counterparts, and there is a lack of interest in connecting them, according to Novakov. According to the MEP, there is funding available for building bridges over the Danube, but there is no willingness to construct them. Bulgaria should convince Romania that they have an EU member country to their south, and such infrastructure would be in its interest. Regional Initiative In turn, local councilors from Giurgiu and Ruse recently signed a joint declaration and letter during a joint Romanian-Bulgarian meeting regarding the importance of Schengen accession, which will be transmitted to the prime ministers and foreign affairs ministers of the two countries. “Sixteen years after simultaneous EU accession, after more than two decades of cooperation that has generated the development and modernization of our two communities, today we find ourselves, together, in a symbiosis that characterizes us, on a common path to the Schengen Area, a priority road with a series of not-to-be-missed opportunities for the Euroregion. Today, we address a letter to the two governments because the Schengen label would bring new opportunities to Romania and Bulgaria, and because citizens have the right to good governance! As we commit in the joint declaration, together we must become a common voice that says the two countries need and deserve to join the Schengen Area!” said Adrian Anghelescu, Mayor of Giurgiu Municipality.

“Our connectivity is not decided by presidents, prime ministers, or EU leaders. Our connection comes quite naturally from individual to individual, from friendship, our daily contacts, and our work together. For years, Ruse and Giurgiu have continuously demonstrated how barriers can be removed through dialogue and partnership. Among us, as citizens on both sides of the border, such a strong connection has been formed that politicians and administrators now have to go through a series of steps to transform it into documents,” said Pencho Milkov, Mayor of Ruse Municipality, from the tribune of the ‘Nicolae Balanescu’ Athenaeum. Lili Gancheva, Executive Director of the Danubius Euroregion Association, also said that the formula for the success of this initiative lies in trust, acceptance, and continuity. “As stated in the Joint Declaration we support, I believe the key to success is to be together because that’s how we can form a common voice to be heard! We deserve and should be in the Schengen Area!” she said. In the joint letter signed by all municipal councilors from Giurgiu and Ruse and to be submitted to the Prime Minister of Romania, Marcel Ciolacu, and the Prime Minister of the Republic of Bulgaria, Nikolai Denkov, as well as the foreign affairs ministers of the two countries, it is emphasized that accession to the Schengen area is “essential for the change it will bring to the region”

Foto: Facebook

Political Reform

In a move aimed at facilitating accession to the Schengen area, Bulgaria’s Supreme Judicial Council has voted to dismiss the controversial Chief Prosecutor Ivan Geshev, considered by many Bulgarians to be a staunch defender of the country’s mafia leaders and a key obstacle to the establishment of the rule of law, reports POLITICO. The Supreme Judicial Council, which is the highest judicial authority in Bulgaria, declared that it voted 16 to 4 in favor of his dismissal. The decision for his removal is now forwarded to President Rumen Radev, who must approve it but has no deadline to do so. Prior to the Supreme Judicial Council’s decision, Geshev had appeared on national television and refused to resign, attacking his parliamentary rivals whom he called “political garbage.” Geshev faced pressure to resign following allegations that an explosion near his vehicle in early May, described as an “assassination attempt,” was, in fact, staged. Bulgaria’s new government, which took office earlier this month, has promised to set the country on a path towards EU democratic norms. For many years, Bulgaria has been considered a “captured state” where oligarchs and their political patrons effectively operated with impunity, in collusion with organized crime groups. Geshev’s role, nicknamed “The Cap,” is particularly sensitive. During the massive anti-mafia protests in 2020, he was identified as a central figure in the judicial system ensuring that no major leaders were ever brought to justice. He had openly clashed with former allies, including former Prime Minister Boyko Borissov. Faced with his imminent departure, Geshev accused his enemies of trying to assassinate him and began revealing a series of hidden investigations, including a money laundering case involving Borissov and the purchase of an expensive property in Barcelona. President Radev, who comes from the ranks of the socialists, has limited powers to oppose decisions of the Supreme Judicial Council but could delay Geshev’s departure to allow him to cause problems for the new government. Radev takes a softer stance toward Russia and is hostile to the reformist new government led by Prime Minister Nikolai Denkov, which has committed to a more pro-NATO and pro-Ukraine stance.

Serious Issues

Bulgaria’s unicameral parliament had previously validated a pro-European government following a difficult compromise between the top two parliamentary parties, after more than two years of instability and five rounds of elections in this economically struggling Balkan country. The new Cabinet—comprised mainly of experts, led by researcher Nikolai Denkov—easily gained approval in Parliament, where it holds 132 out of 240 seats. Sixty-year-old Nikolai Denkov, a former Education Minister, designated by the reformist liberal coalition CC/BD, is set to govern for the next nine months. He is to be supported by former European Commissioner Maria Gabriel, nominated by the GERB (conservative) party of Boiko Borisov. Forty-four-year-old Maria Gabriel is expected to hold the Foreign Affairs portfolio and take over as head of the government in March 2024. The two political forces, which stood side by side in the legislative elections on April 2, announced on May 22 an agreement to end an unprecedented political impasse since the fall of communism in 1989. Negotiations nearly collapsed due to the release of recordings revealing strong enmity between the two sides. However, former rival Prime Ministers Boiko Borisov (GERB) and Kiril Petkov (CC) decided to put their differences aside due to the catastrophic situation of this EU and NATO member country. They share a pro-European stance against the Russian invasion of Ukraine, in this historically Russia-friendly, divided country.”

Foto: Facebook

The Radev Enigma

The policies of the two sides are expected to diverge from the policies of the interim governments—which refused to provide direct military assistance to Kyiv—under the auspices of the Russophile President Rumen Radev. The Bulgarian head of state denounced this coalition in Parliament and urged them not to “betray the national interests” of Bulgaria. Among the priorities of the new Bulgarian government is the adoption of the budget, which has been postponed due to political disputes. Asen Vasilev, a Harvard-educated individual, has been appointed Minister of Finance and European Funds. The new government aims to reform the judiciary to improve the fight against corruption and has set the goal of joining the euro area and the Schengen Area “as quickly as possible.” Romanian Initiative MEP Nicu Ștefănuță recently stated that he received a response from the European Commission regarding an inquiry about Romania’s accession to the Schengen Area, in which they pledged to do everything in their power to ensure that, during 2023, the Council would adopt measures so that Romania and Bulgaria could join Schengen. “In response to an inquiry made by the Sibiu MEP Nicu Ștefănuță (Greens/EFA) regarding Schengen accession, the priority and the continuation of efforts to reduce waiting times at borders for Romanian citizens have been reconfirmed. On March 22, 2023, Nicu Ștefănuță sent a query to the Commission presenting a study that highlights the negative environmental impact caused by Romania’s non-membership in the Schengen Area. This study not only demonstrated financial losses in the billions of euros annually but also showed that vehicles, due to waiting times at the border, emit a significant amount of carbon dioxide. Specifically, it is estimated that 46,000 tons of carbon dioxide are emitted annually by vehicles waiting at the border controls simply because Romania and Bulgaria are not yet part of the Schengen Area,” the MEP said in an official statement. “The fact that we are not in Schengen costs us not only billions of euros annually but also our health and the health of our children because we are exposed to thousands of tons of carbon dioxide, just because we unnecessarily wait in customs queues! When will the humiliation end? When will we be treated like other Europeans?” said MEP Nicu Ștefănuță. Ultimately, the Commission responded with an official letter, stating the following words: “Expanding the Schengen area remains a political priority for the Commission, and in close collaboration with the Council Presidency and the European Parliament, we commit to doing everything in our power to ensure that, during the year 2023, the Council adopts the necessary measures as soon as possible so that Romania and Bulgaria can join the Schengen Area.

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